Kathy Longo (Founder and Principal) and Jay Pluimer (Director of Investments) hosted a live client webinar on Tuesday, March 17th to share their perspectives about impacts on the financial and investment environment from Coronavirus. A link to the recording is included below which includes both the audio and the visuals from the webinar. Unfortunately, due to a technology glitch, the introduction to the presentation wasn’t included in the video.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) became the first major US Stock Market to reach “Bear Market” levels today (3/11/2020) by dropping over 20% from its all-time high set in mid-February. Stock markets around the world have been reacting violently to concerns related to the spread of Coronavirus along with uncertainty about the impact on the economy, unknown timing about when the crisis will end, and the serious health risk.
Our primary concern during a crisis is for the physical, emotional, and financial safety of our clients. An important part of our wealth management relationship is to be available to hear client concerns about market events like we are experiencing right now, provide a historical perspective to put the significant daily market moves into the appropriate context, while also proactively communicating what Flourish Wealth Management is doing on your behalf.
It is critical to understand that market corrections (down 10%), Bear Markets (down 20%), and economic recessions (at least two consecutive quarters of negative growth) are included in our investment and financial planning assumptions. Many of our clients have seen Monte Carlo demonstrations about how their financial plan will fare in a wide variety of circumstances, covering over 1,000 tests based on historical data, including bear markets. With a successful financial plan, the current scenario is included (although it’s a lot less painful watching the squiggly lines on a presentation screen than personally experiencing the emotional ups and downs). In addition, for clients who rely on cash flows from their portfolio to support their lifestyle, please remember that your next several years of cash needs are covered regardless of what’s happening in the Stock Market.
Last week saw the worst week on Wall Street since 2008, as the Dow fell into correction likely due to the outbreak and spread of COVID-19, commonly called novel coronavirus. A market correction is a nerve-wracking event for investors, but the current uneasiness in the markets is no cause for panic.
While the spread of COVID-19 is atypical, market correction is not. In fact, it’s an entirely normal process, and not altogether unexpected after experiencing the longest-running bull market on record. There have been 22 market corrections since 1974, and they are aptly named because the market usually “corrects” itself and returns prices to their longer-term trends. While the coronavirus is likely to cause economic impact into at least the second quarter of 2020, historically, Wall Street’s reaction to these types of epidemics has been short-lived, including in the recent past.