Newsletter

Expectations for 2022

We don’t believe in trying to time the markets, but using an evidence-based approach to make projections can help us understand what to expect in 2022.

Thursday, 06 January 2022

It’s a new year, and we’ve been busy evaluating market dynamics in order to make projections about what might happen next. 

2021 Year in Review

The market demonstrated its strength in 2021, with a relative lack of volatility and a few impressive statistics, too.

Wednesday, 22 December 2021

In episodes 21 and 22, we reflected on 2020 and shared expectations for 2021. I’m happy to say we got some predictions right, but I’m not surprised we got a lot wrong, too. 

How Statistics Almost Ruined Thanksgiving

It’s important to take a skeptical approach to how statistics are used in general, but especially when they’re being used to generate media headlines.

Thursday, 02 December 2021

If you watched the news on Thanksgiving this year, you might have found it to be a negative experience. The statistics generating media headlines about inflation painted a bleak picture. 

Corporate Earnings and Market Bubbles

The term “market bubble” is getting a lot of attention in recent headlines, but the fundamentals of the U.S. economy are very good at the moment.

Thursday, 11 November 2021

You’ve probably seen the recent headlines asking whether the market is in a bubble, and this strikes fear in many investors. After all, most remember the 2008-2009 burst during the Great Recession, and the quick transition from an all-time high to losses of over 30% in early 2020 with the Coronavirus. 

Panflation: What is it? When will it end?

We’re living through a time with little historical context, and it calls for new terminology.

Wednesday, 20 October 2021

As evidence-based investors, we typically rely on historical stock market and economic data from the past one hundred years to answer the common questions we’re hearing from our clients.

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